A | CABO SAN LUCAS, Mexico -- Residents of Mexico’s Los Cabos resorts rushed to prepare as Hurricane Norma headed toward the southern tip of Mexico’s Baja California Peninsula for an expected landfall Saturday, while in the Atlantic, Tammy grew into a hurricane and threatened to batter the islands of the Lesser Antilles. Businesses in Cabo San Lucas nailed up sheets of plywood over their windows and government personnel hung up banners warning people not to try to cross gullies and stream beds, after Hurricane Norma regained strength and once again became a major storm Friday.Baja California Sur Gov. Victor Manuel Castro urged people to stay at home.“Nobody should leave their house after six, seven in the evening," Castro said. "Nobody should go out.”In the Atlantic, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said Hurricane Tammy had winds of 80 mph (130 kph), and hurricane warnings were issued for the islands of Guadeloupe, Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, and St. Kitts and Nevis.The center said Norma had 120 mph (195 kph) maximum sustained winds and was centered about 145 miles (235 kilometers) south of Cabo San Lucas. The Category 3 storm was moving north-northwest at 9 mph (15 kph), and the center said its outer bands of rain were already reaching the Baja peninsula.Hotels in Los Cabos, which are largely frequented by foreign tourists, remained about three-quarters full and there was no major move by visitors to leave, Baja California Sur state tourism secretary Maribel Collins said.With rain already falling in Los Cabos, some flights in and out were canceled Friday, there was no way out anyway. Airports will be closed Saturday, according to the local civil defense office.The local hotel association estimated there were about 40,000 tourists still in Cabo San Lucas and San Jose del Cabo on Friday.A couple from San Diego walked through the largely deserted streets of Cabo San Lucas on Friday. Because their sports fishing tournament had been postponed until next week, they had little choice but to stay. The local port was closed to navigation as a precaution. At the marina in Cabo San Lucas, José Ceseña was hauling out of the water the boat he usually uses to ferry tourists around on tours. With the port closed and a hurricane coming, he said it wasn’t worth risking his craft.Homero Blanco, the state commander of the National Guard, said beaches at the resort had been ordered closed and Guard troops were sent to clear people from the seashore.“This morning there were a few people on the beach when we cleared it,” Blanco said. “We invited them to leave.” The federal government posted 500 marines to the resort to help with storm preparations, and municipal officials said as many as 39 emergency shelters could be opened if needed.A hurricane warning was issued for the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and the forecast track would take a weakened Norma toward the mainland of Mexico’s western Pacific coast as a tropical storm.Norma was expected to weaken somewhat as it neared land, but not as much as originally forecast. In the Atlantic, Hurricane Tammy was about 55 miles (85 kilometers) east of Martinique and 135 miles (220 kilometers) southeast of the Caribbean island of Guadeloupe and was moving west-northwest at 9 mph (15 kph).Tammy was expected to remain at hurricane strength and even strengthen slightly as it moved toward the Lesser Antilles through Saturday passing by Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda. Both Martinique and Guadeloupe are French overseas departments.The hurricane center said in a report that “heavy rainfall and flooding (are) likely over much of the Lesser Antilles.”Hurricane warnings were issued for the islands of Guadeloupe, Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, and St. Kitts, Nevis, Anguilla, St. Maarten, St. Martin and St. Barthelemy.___Follow AP’s climate coverage at: https://apnews.com/hub/climate-and-environment。 军事动态往往不能单纯被视为武装力量的展示，而是全球战略意图波动的缩影。近日，中国的歼-16战斗机首次抵达埃及，此举不仅标志着中国航空力量在非洲的扩展，也引发了中东地区的地缘政治震荡，尤其是以色列的紧张关系。在这场“文明之鹰-2026”的空军联合训练中，至少6架歼-16和多款先进支援机型一同参与，这是一场不容小觑的军事演习。 回顾整个飞行旅程，歼-16从中国西部起飞，经过巴基斯坦进行补给，跨越6000多公里的航程，最终抵达埃及，这不仅是一次技术的展示，更是一种战略能力的宣示。我们的目光应聚焦在这次飞行的多层含义上。
B | 尽管有人认为，此次演习只不过是简单的军事交流，但实际上，对于埃及空军来说，这次演习深刻揭示了其浩瀚的战略潜力。埃及空军虽纸面力量强大，但其背后的现实却是“有枪无弹”，因其装备的老旧及技术受限。这种情况下，中国的歼-16，无疑为埃及提供了一条崭新的选择道路。 目前，埃及空军的主要机型包括218架F-16、43架“阵风”以及45架米格-29M，然而，实际上这些装备在现代战争中却显得力不从心。F-16大多为上世纪80年代的老型号，导弹射程更是惨淡到令人失望。
C | 面对这样的背景，以色列持续保持绝对空优的策略，使得任何阿拉伯国家想在空中力量上有所突破都遭遇天花板式的限制。 例如，2015年埃及曾尝试采购24架苏-35SE战机，但由于美国的施压，埃及不得不终止合同，赔偿违约金。这也使得埃及的军方无法在技术上获得真正的发展。 如今，随着中国的崛起，北京正逐渐成为中东国家武器购买的新宠。这次歼-16的到来，不仅是简单的军备销售，更是中国作为“安全体系提供者”的转变。由此可见，埃及并非是中国武器的“新手用户”，早在2017年，埃及空军就已经开始使用中国的无人机执行反恐任务。从翼龙-1到未来可能的歼-10CE订单，显然，埃及在向中国的军事体系靠拢。 实际上，这里不仅涉及到埃及的单独选择，更是整个中东防务格局的重塑。随着巴基斯坦、土耳其和沙特等国如同“伊斯兰北约”般团结合作，中东国家正在逐步朝向自主防务的方向迈进。在这样的背景下，歼-16的引入将极大丰富埃及空军的作战选项，同时也让以色列陷入了深思。 报道指出，以色列对埃及采纳中国武器装备的担忧并非无的放矢。
D | 假设埃及采购了更多的现代化战机，例如配备PL-15E导弹的歼-10CE，那么这一切将严重动摇以色列在区域内的军事优势。此时，以色列的空军面临的将不仅仅是来自传统敌国的威胁，还可能是整个中东地区新联盟形成带来的压力。
E | 这种情况将如何演变？如果各国开始积极寻求与中国的军事合作，未来的中东将会出现什么样的格局？或许在不久的将来，我们将看到一个更加多元化的中东防务体系，所有的目光都将锁定于这段历史性的演练背后，意蕴深远的大国博弈。
F | 群雄逐鹿的时代已成往事，当前是选择晨昏的阶段。
G | 埃及此次与中国的紧密合作，标志着中东地区安全话语权正在向东方倾斜。未来的局势再变化不居，然而，战略自主、军事自主将成为一个时代的主旋律。随着越来越多的中东国家积极评估是否投身于中国的武器采购海洋，整个地区的安全政策逻辑将面临深刻变革。
H | 歼-16飞抵埃及，不仅是一场军事演习，它更是全球地缘政治的一部分，一个新的战略游戏的开端。对于中东乃至全球而言，在这个转折点，所有参与者都应该谨慎思考自己的立场，才能在即将到来的新秩序中找到属于自己的位置。返回，查看更多。
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